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Science 28 July 2006:
Vol. 313. no. 5786, pp. 452 - 454
DOI: 10.1126/science.1128448
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Perspectives

CLIMATE CHANGE:
Can We Detect Trends in Extreme Tropical Cyclones?

Christopher W. Landsea1, Bruce A. Harper2, Karl Hoarau3, John A. Knaff4

Subjective measurements and variable procedures make existing tropical cyclone databases insufficiently reliable to detect trends in the frequency of extreme cyclones.

1C. W. Landsea is at the NOAA National Hurricane Center, Miami, FL 33165, USA. E-mail: chris.landsea{at}noaa.gov

2B. A. Harper is with Systems Engineering Australia Pty. Ltd., Bridgeman Downs, Queensland 4035, Australia.

3K. Hoarau is at the Cergy-Pontoise University, 95011 Cergy-Pontoise Cedex, France.

4J. A. Knaff is at the NOAA Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere, Fort Collins, CO 80523, USA.

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