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Science 17 August 2001:
Vol. 293. no. 5533, pp. 1257 - 1259
DOI: 10.1126/science.1063357

Policy Forum

CLIMATE CHANGE:
Hidden Health Benefits of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation

Luis Cifuentes, Victor H. Borja-Aburto, Nelson Gouveia, George Thurston, Devra Lee Davis*

The adoption of readily available measures to lower GHG emissions in Santiago, Mexico City, São Paulo, and New York over the next two decades would also provide major public health benefits from associated reductions in particulate matter and ozone ambient concentrations. Improved technologies to reduce fossil-fuel combustion could reduce these copollutants by about 10%, and thereby avoid some 64,000 premature deaths (including infant deaths), 65,000 chronic bronchitis cases, and 37 million person-days of restricted activity or work loss in these four cities alone through 2020. If the substantial public health benefits we have charted here become more widely recognized, and their full economic and social impact are integrated into discussions of climate policy, this could prompt a major rethinking of the climate debate and help break through the present impasse.


L. Cifuentes, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile. V. H. Borja-Aburto, Dirección General de Salud Ambiental, Secretaria de Salud, Mexico City, DF, Mexico. N. Gouveia, Departamento de Medicina Preventiva--Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil. G. Thurston, Nelson Institute of Environmental Medicine, New York University School of Medicine, Tuxedo, NY 10987, USA. D. L. Davis, H. John Heinz III School for Public Policy and Management, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, USA.

*To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: ddavis{at}andrew.cmu.edu

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