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Science 27 July 2001:
Vol. 293. no. 5530, pp. 615 - 616
DOI: 10.1126/science.1063606

Perspectives

VOLCANOLOGY:
Predicting Volcanic Eruptions

Roberto Scarpa

In recent years, some major volcanic eruptions have been forecast successfully, but others have claimed many lives. In his Perspective, Scarpa charts recent efforts to improve predictions of volcanic eruptions. Broadband seismic studies, such as those of Kumagai et al., are a powerful tool for modeling the magma dynamics. This and other techniques, such as strain meters in boreholes, will lead to a more quantitative approach in physical volcanology.


The author is in the Dipartimento di Fisica, Universita' dell'Aquila, Via Vetoio 10, 67010 Coppito-L'Aquila, Italy. E-mail: Roberto.Scarpa{at}aquila.infn.it

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Science. ISSN 0036-8075 (print), 1095-9203 (online)