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Science 11 February 2000:
Vol. 287. no. 5455, pp. 960 - 961
DOI: 10.1126/science.287.5455.960
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News Focus

STATISTICS:
Revealing Uncertainties in Computer Models

Barry Cipra

Computer simulations give the impression of precision, but they are founded on a raft of assumptions, simplifications, and outright errors. New tools are needed, scientists say, to quantify the uncertainties inherent in calculations and to evaluate the validity of the models. But making uncertainties evident is a tough challenge, as evidenced by several recent workshops.

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THIS ARTICLE HAS BEEN CITED BY OTHER ARTICLES:
Computer Simulation of Clostridium botulinum Strain 56A Behavior at Low Spore Concentrations.
L. Zhao, T. J. Montville, and D. W. Schaffner (2003)
Appl. Envir. Microbiol. 69, 845-851
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Science. ISSN 0036-8075 (print), 1095-9203 (online)