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Science 13 September 1996:
Vol. 273. no. 5281, pp. 1484 - 1486
DOI: 10.1126/science.273.5281.1484
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News

Hui Li

Beijing--A vast, 30-year effort to monitor the earthquakes that regularly shake China has led to unprecedented--and controversial--success in predicting them. After decades of secrecy, the Chinese have recently begun opening up this program to the West, giving foreign scientists a closer look at an effort about which many have been highly skeptical. Chinese officials say that "the accumulation of experience"--including reliance on empirical analysis of a host of precursors--can be very useful in forecasting earthquakes so long as the underlying physical mechanisms remain poorly understood.




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Science. ISSN 0036-8075 (print), 1095-9203 (online)