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Science 12 December 2008:
Vol. 322. no. 5908, pp. 1674 - 1678
DOI: 10.1126/science.1163589

Reports

Earthquake Supercycles Inferred from Sea-Level Changes Recorded in the Corals of West Sumatra

Kerry Sieh,1* Danny H. Natawidjaja,2 Aron J. Meltzner,1 Chuan-Chou Shen,3 Hai Cheng,4 Kuei-Shu Li,3 Bambang W. Suwargadi,2 John Galetzka,1 Belle Philibosian,1 R. Lawrence Edwards4

Records of relative sea-level change extracted from corals of the Mentawai islands, Sumatra, imply that this 700-kilometer-long section of the Sunda megathrust has generated broadly similar sequences of great earthquakes about every two centuries for at least the past 700 years. The moment magnitude 8.4 earthquake of September 2007 represents the first in a series of large partial failures of the Mentawai section that will probably be completed within the next several decades.

1 Tectonics Observatory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA 91125, USA.
2 Research Center for Geotechnology, Indonesian Institute of Sciences, Bandung, Indonesia.
3 Department of Geosciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan, ROC.
4 Department of Geology and Geophysics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55455, USA.

* To whom correspondence should be addressed at the Earth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, 639798 Singapore. E-mail: sieh{at}ntu.edu.sg

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Science. ISSN 0036-8075 (print), 1095-9203 (online)