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POLITICAL PSYCHOLOGY: The Perils of Prognostication
John T. Jost
Expert Political Judgment
How Good Is It?
How Can We Know? by Philip E. Tetlock
Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ, 2006. 337 pp. $35, £22.95. ISBN 0-691-12302-2. Paper, $19.95, £12.95. ISBN 0-691-12871-5.
Evaluating predictions from a range of experts, informed laity, and extrapolation of current trends, the author considers how we might recognize good political judgments and strategic forecasts.
The reviewer is at the Department of Psychology, New York University, 6 Washington Place, 5th Floor, New York, NY 10003, USA. E-mail: john.jost{at}nyu.edu
