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Evidence for Strengthening of the Tropical General Circulation in the 1990s
Junye Chen,12*Barbara E. Carlson,2Anthony D. Del Genio2
Satellite observations suggest that the thermal radiation emitted
by Earth to space increased by more than 5 watts per squaremeter,
while reflected sunlight decreased by less than 2 wattsper square
meter, in the tropics over the period 1985-2000, withmost of the
increase occurring after 1990. By analyzing temporalchanges in the
frequency of occurrence of emitted thermal andreflected solar fluxes,
the effects of El Niño-Southern Oscillationare
minimized, and an independent longer-time-scale variationof the
radiation budget is identified. Similar analyses of uppertropospheric
humidity, cloud amount, surface air temperature,and vertical velocity
confirm that these flux changes are associatedwith a
decadal-time-scale strengthening of the tropical Hadleyand Walker
circulations. Equatorial convective regions have intensifiedin upward
motion and moistened, while both the equatorial andsubtropical
subsidence regions have become drier and less cloudy.
1 Department of Earth and Environmental
Sciences, Columbia University, Palisades, NY 10964, USA.
2 NASA/Goddard Institute for Space Studies, 2880 Broadway, New York, NY 10025, USA.
*
To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail:
jchen{at}giss.nasa.gov
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In Science Magazine
TECHNICAL COMMENTS
Kevin E. Trenberth, Bruce A. Wielicki, Anthony D. Del Genio, Takmeng Wong, Junye Chen, Barbara E. Carlson, Richard P. Allan, Franklin Robertson, Herbert Jacobowitz, Anthony Slingo, David A. Randall, Jeffrey T. Kiehl, Brian J. Soden, C. T. Gordon, Alvin J. Miller, Shi-Keng Yang, and Joel Susskind (21 June 2002) Science296 (5576), 2095a.
[DOI: 10.1126/science.296.5576.2095a] |Full Text »|PDF »
PERSPECTIVES
Dennis L. Hartmann (1 February 2002) Science295 (5556), 811.
[DOI: 10.1126/science.1068447] |Summary »|Full Text »|PDF »
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[DOI: 10.1126/science.1065837] |Abstract »|Full Text »|PDF »|Supplemental Data »
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