EPIDEMIOLOGY:Enhanced: Simple Rules with Complex Dynamics

doi:10.1126/science.287.5453.601

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Science 28 January 2000:
Vol. 287. no. 5453, pp. 601 - 602
DOI: 10.1126/science.287.5453.601

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Perspectives

Also see the archival list of Science's Compass: Enhanced Perspectives

EPIDEMIOLOGY:
Enhanced: Simple Rules with Complex Dynamics

Sir Robert May

The incidence of infectious diseases such as measles shows patterns that oscillate between regular (occurring at a set time and location) and irregular cycles. In a Perspective, May discusses a report (Earn et al.) that provides a simple mathematical model to explain the transitions between regular and irregular cycles of measles outbreaks in the United States and the United Kingdom.

The author is Chief Scientific Adviser to the U.K. government, Office of Science and Technology, 94-98 Albany House, London SW1H 9ST, UK. E-mail: robert.may{at}zoo.ox.ac.uk

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