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Science 26 March 1999: Vol. 283. no. 5410, pp. 2064 - 2069 DOI: 10.1126/science.283.5410.2064
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Reports
Arctic Ozone Loss Due to Denitrification
A. E. Waibel,
1*
Th. Peter,
1
K. S. Carslaw,
1
H. Oelhaf,
2
G. Wetzel,
2
P. J. Crutzen,
1
U. Pöschl,
1§
A. Tsias,
1
E. Reimer,
3
H. Fischer
1
Measurements from the winter of 1994-95 indicating removal of
total reactive nitrogen from the Arctic stratosphere by particle sedimentation were used to constrain a microphysical model. The model
suggests that denitrification is caused predominantly by nitric acid
trihydrate particles in small number densities. The denitrification is
shown to increase Arctic ozone loss substantially. Sensitivity studies
indicate that the Arctic stratosphere is currently at a threshold of
denitrification. This implies that future stratospheric cooling,
induced by an increase in the anthropogenic carbon dioxide burden, is
likely to enhance denitrification and to delay until late in the next
century the return of Arctic stratospheric ozone to preindustrial
values.
1 Max-Planck-Institut für Chemie, Post
Office Box 3060, 55020 Mainz, Germany.
2 Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe, Institut für
Meteorologie und Klimaforschung, Post Office Box 3640, D-76021
Karlsruhe, Germany.
3 FU Berlin, Institut für
Meteorologie, Carl-Heinrich-Becker-Weg 6-10, D-12165 Berlin, Germany.
*
Present address: Lufthansa Systems, FRA4E/DCS, Hugo-Eckner-Ring,
D-60549 Frankfurt, Germany.
To whom correspondence should be addressed.
Present address: Institute for Atmospheric Sciences, ETH Zürich,
HPP Hönggerberg, CH-8093 Zürich, Switzerland. E-mail:
thomas.peter{at}atmos.umnw.ethz.ch
Present address: Environment Centre, University of
Leeds, Leeds LS2 9JT, UK.
§
Present address: Institut für
Wasserchemie, TU München, Marchioninistra e 17, D-81377
München, Germany.
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