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Science 24 April 1998:
Vol. 280. no. 5363, pp. 522 - 523
DOI: 10.1126/science.280.5363.522

Research News

CLIMATE PREDICTION:
Models Win Big in Forecasting El Niño

Richard A. Kerr

Predictions of the most recent El Niño were widely regarded as a stunning success: Forecasters warned of torrential rain in California this winter and drought in Indonesia, and they were right. But according to a recent ranking of which computer models do the best job of predicting this warming of the tropical Pacific and its effects on global weather patterns, if meteorologists had relied more heavily on their models, those predictions could have been even better.

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THIS ARTICLE HAS BEEN CITED BY OTHER ARTICLES:
Modelling the interacting effects of nutrient uptake, light capture and temperature on phytoplankton growth.
M. E. Baird, S. M. Emsley, and J. M. Mcglade (2001)
J. Plankton Res. 23, 829-840
   Abstract »    Full Text »    PDF »
Biological and Chemical Response of the Equatorial Pacific Ocean to the 1997-98 El Niño.
F. P. Chavez, P. G. Strutton, G. E. Friederich, R. A. Feely, G. C. Feldman, D. G. Foley, and M. J. McPhaden (1999)
Science 286, 2126-2131
   Abstract »    Full Text »
Genesis and Evolution of the 1997-98 El Niño.
M. J. McPhaden (1999)
Science 283, 950-954
   Abstract »    Full Text »



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Science. ISSN 0036-8075 (print), 1095-9203 (online)