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Science 28 October 1994:
Vol. 266. no. 5185, pp. 634 - 637
DOI: 10.1126/science.266.5185.634

Articles

Causes of Decadal Climate Variability over the North Pacific and North America

M. Latif 1 and T. P. Barnett 2

1 Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie, Bundestrasse 55, D-20146 Hamburg, Germany
2 Climate Research Division, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA 92093-0224, USA.

The cause of decadal climate variability over the North Pacific Ocean and North America is investigated by the analysis of data from a multidecadal integration with a state-of-the-art coupled ocean-atmosphere model and observations. About one-third of the low-frequency climate variability in the region of interest can be attributed to a cycle involving unstable air-sea interactions between the subtropical gyre circulation in the North Pacific and the Aleutian low-pressure system. The existence of this cycle provides a basis for long-range climate forecasting over the western United States at decadal time scales.

Submitted on June 27, 1994
Accepted on August 30, 1994


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