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Science 14 January 1994: Vol. 263. no. 5144, pp. 185 - 190 DOI: 10.1126/science.263.5144.185
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Articles
Carbon Pools and Flux of Global Forest Ecosystems
R. K. Dixon 1,
A. M. Solomon 1,
S. Brown 2,
R. A. Houghton 3,
M. C. Trexier 4, and
J. Wisniewski 5
1 Global Change Research Program, Environmental Research Laboratory, Environmental Protection Agency, Corvallis, OR 97333
2 Department of Forestry, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL 61801
3 Woods Hole Research Center, Woods Hole, MA 02543
4 Trexler and Associates, Inc., Oak Grove, OR 97267
5 Wisniewski and Associates, Inc., Falls Church, VA 22043
Forest systems cover more than 4.1 x 109 hectares of the Earth's land area. Globally, forest vegetation and soils contain about 1146 petagrams of carbon, with approximately 37 percent of this carbon in low-latitude forests, 14 percent in mid-latitudes, and 49 percent at high latitudes. Over two-thirds of the carbon in forest ecosystems is contained in soils and associated peat deposits. In 1990, deforestation in the low latitudes emitted 1.6 ± 0.4 petagrams of carbon per year, whereas forest area expansion and growth in mid- and high-latitude forest sequestered 0.7 ± 0.2 petagrams of carbon per year, for a net flux to the atmosphere of 0.9 ± 0.4 petagrams of carbon per year. Slowing deforestation, combined with an increase in forestation and other management measures to improve forest ecosystem productivity, could conserve or sequester significant quantities of carbon. Future forest carbon cycling trends attributable to losses and regrowth associated with global climate and land-use change are uncertain. Model projections and some results suggest that forests could be carbon sinks or sources in the future.
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