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Science 10 July 1987:
Vol. 237. no. 4811, pp. 171 - 175
DOI: 10.1126/science.237.4811.171

Articles

Precipitation Fluctuations over Northern Hemisphere Land Areas Since the Mid-19th Century

R. S. BRADLEY 1, H. F. DIAZ 2, J. K. EISCHEID 2, P. D. JONES 3, P. M. KELLY 3, and C. M. GOODESS 3

1 Department of Geology and Geography, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003.
2 Environmental Research Laboratories, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Boulder, CO 80303.
3 Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, Norwich, NR4 7TJ, United Kingdom.

An extensive array of measurements extending back to the mid-19th century was used to investigate large-scale changes in precipitation over Northern Hemisphere land areas. Significant increases in mid-latitude precipitation and concurrent decreases in low-latitude precipitation have occurred over the last 30 to 40 years. Although these large-scale trends are consistent with general circulation model projections of precipitation changes associated with doubled concentrations of atmospheric carbon dioxide, they should be viewed as defining large-scale natural climatic variability. Additional work to refine regional variations and address potential network inhomogeneitics is needed. This study attempts to show secular precipitation fluctuations over hemispheric and continental-scale areas of the Northern Hemisphere.

Submitted on November 10, 1986
Accepted on April 13, 1987


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Science. ISSN 0036-8075 (print), 1095-9203 (online)