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Science 26 August 1983:
Vol. 221. no. 4613, pp. 828 - 832
DOI: 10.1126/science.6879179
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Articles

Science, Vol 221, Issue 4613, 828-832
Copyright © 1983 by American Association for the Advancement of Science

articles

Recent trends in fertility in less developed countries

AJ Coale

The rate of increase of population in less developed countries accelerated rapidly from 1850 to 1960 because of a rapid decline in mortality while fertility remained high. In the 1960's, the birth rate as a whole began to decline more rapidly than the death rate--very rapidly in some populations, most notably that of China, more gradually in others, and not at all in some of the poorest populations. The momentum of growth implies continued increase in populations for several decades even in countries where fertility has fallen the most, and very large additional increases where there has been no decline in the rate of childbearing.


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