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Reports
Submitted on February 2, 2007 How Much More Rain Will Global Warming Bring?
1 Remote Sensing Systems, 438 First Street, Santa Rosa, CA 95401, USA. * To whom correspondence should be addressed.
Climate models and satellite observations both indicate the total amount of water in the atmosphere will increase substantially due to global warming at a rate of 7% K-1. However, the climate models predict global precipitation will increase at a much slower rate of 1-3% K-1. A recent analysis of satellite observations does not support this prediction of a muted response of precipitation to global warming. Rather, the observations suggest that precipitation and total atmospheric water have increased at about the same rate over the last two decades.
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Science. ISSN 0036-8075 (print), 1095-9203 (online)