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Science 28 September 2007:
Vol. 317. no. 5846, p. 1866
DOI: 10.1126/science.1141283
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Technical Comments

Response to Comments on "A Semi-Empirical Approach to Projecting Future Sea-Level Rise"

Stefan Rahmstorf

Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, 14473 Potsdam, Germany. E-mail: rahmstorf{at}ozean-klima.de


Figure 1 Fig. 1. (Top) Observed rate of sea-level rise (red) and that forecast using the simple empirical model (blue), trained using data for the period 1880 to 1940. (Bottom) Observed sea level (red) and that predicted using the empirical model (blue), by integrating the blue curve from the top panel forward in time. Dashed lines show the error estimate for the prediction, as in (3). [View Larger Version of this Image (22K GIF file)]
 

Figure 2 Fig. 2. (Top) Observed rate of sea-level rise (red) and that forecast using the simple empirical model (blue), trained using data for the period 1940 to 2000. (Bottom) Observed sea level (red) and that predicted using the empirical model (blue), by integrating the blue curve from the top panel backward in time. Dashed lines show the error estimate for the prediction, as in (3). [View Larger Version of this Image (21K GIF file)]
 

Figure 3 Fig. 3. Fifteen-year averages of the global mean temperature (blue, °C) and rate of sea level rise (red, cm/year), both detrended. [View Larger Version of this Image (16K GIF file)]
 

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