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ReportsUnderstanding the Spreading Patterns of Mobile Phone Viruses
We modeled the mobility of mobile phone users in order to study the fundamental spreading patterns that characterize a mobile virus outbreak. We find that although Bluetooth viruses can reach all susceptible handsets with time, they spread slowly because of human mobility, offering ample opportunities to deploy antiviral software. In contrast, viruses using multimedia messaging services could infect all users in hours, but currently a phase transition on the underlying call graph limits them to only a small fraction of the susceptible users. These results explain the lack of a major mobile virus breakout so far and predict that once a mobile operating systems market share reaches the phase transition point, viruses will pose a serious threat to mobile communications.
1 Center for Complex Network Research, Departments of Physics, Biology, and Computer Science, Northeastern University, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
2 Center for Complex Network Research and Department of Physics, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA. 3 Center for International Development, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA. 4 Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, and Center for Cancer Systems Biology, Dana Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, MA 02115, USA. * To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: barabasi{at}gmail.com
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Science. ISSN 0036-8075 (print), 1095-9203 (online)