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Science 6 February 2009:
Vol. 323. no. 5915, pp. 746 - 751
DOI: 10.1126/science.1158997

Review

Is Genetic Evolution Predictable?

David L. Stern1* and Virginie Orgogozo2*

Ever since the integration of Mendelian genetics into evolutionary biology in the early 20th century, evolutionary geneticists have for the most part treated genes and mutations as generic entities. However, recent observations indicate that all genes are not equal in the eyes of evolution. Evolutionarily relevant mutations tend to accumulate in hotspot genes and at specific positions within genes. Genetic evolution is constrained by gene function, the structure of genetic networks, and population biology. The genetic basis of evolution may be predictable to some extent, and further understanding of this predictability requires incorporation of the specific functions and characteristics of genes into evolutionary theory.

1 Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Howard Hughes Medical Institute, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA.
2 CNRS, Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Bâtiment A, 5ème Étage, Case 29, 7 Quai Saint Bernard, 75005 Paris, France.

* To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: dstern{at}princeton.edu (D.L.S.); virginie.orgogozo{at}normalesup.org (V.O.)

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Science. ISSN 0036-8075 (print), 1095-9203 (online)