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Interpretation of Recent Southern Hemisphere Climate Change
David W. J. Thompson,1*Susan Solomon2
Climate variability in the high-latitude Southern
Hemisphere (SH) is dominated by the SH annular mode, a large-scale
patternof variability characterized by fluctuations in the strength ofthe circumpolar vortex. We present evidence that recent trendsin the
SH tropospheric circulation can be interpreted as a biastoward the
high-index polarity of this pattern, with strongerwesterly flow
encircling the polar cap. It is argued that thelargest and most
significant tropospheric trends can be tracedto recent trends in the
lower stratospheric polar vortex, whichare due largely to
photochemical ozone losses. During the summer-fallseason, the trend
toward stronger circumpolar flow has contributedsubstantially to the
observed warming over the Antarctic Peninsulaand Patagonia and to the
cooling over eastern Antarctica and theAntarctic plateau.
1 Department of Atmospheric Science, Foothills
Campus, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523, USA.
2 Aeronomy Laboratory, National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration, 325 South Broadway, Boulder, CO 80305, USA.
*
To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail:
davet{at}atmos.colostate.edu
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