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Science 26 February 1999:
Vol. 283. no. 5406, pp. 1310 - 1314
DOI: 10.1126/science.283.5406.1310

Reports

Evolutionary and Preservational Constraints on Origins of Biologic Groups: Divergence Times of Eutherian Mammals

Mike Foote, 1* John P. Hunter, 2 Christine M. Janis, 3 J. John Sepkoski Jr. 1

Some molecular clock estimates of divergence times of taxonomic groups undergoing evolutionary radiation are much older than the groups' first observed fossil record. Mathematical models of branching evolution are used to estimate the maximal rate of fossil preservation consistent with a postulated missing history, given the sum of species durations implied by early origins under a range of species origination and extinction rates. The plausibility of postulated divergence times depends on origination, extinction, and preservation rates estimated from the fossil record. For eutherian mammals, this approach suggests that it is unlikely that many modern orders arose much earlier than their oldest fossil records.

1 Department of the Geophysical Sciences, University of Chicago, 5734 South Ellis Avenue, Chicago, IL 60637, USA.
2 New York College of Osteopathic Medicine of New York Institute of Technology, Post Office Box 8000, Old Westbury, NY 11568-8000, USA.
3 Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Brown University, Providence, RI 02912, USA.
*   To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: mfoote{at}midway.uchicago.edu


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