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Science 12 June 1987:
Vol. 236. no. 4807, pp. 1437 - 1441
DOI: 10.1126/science.236.4807.1437

Articles

Asymmetry of Lineages and the Direction of Evolutionary Time

STEPHEN JAY GOULD 1, NORMAN L. GILINSKY 2, and REBECCA Z. GERMAN 3

1 Museum of Comparative Zoology, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138.
2 Department of Geological Sciences, Virginia Polytechnic Institute, Blacksburg, VA 24061.
3 School of Dental Medicine, Washington University, St. Louis, MO 63130.

Evolutionary time has a characteristic direction as demonstrated by the asymmetry of clade diversity diagrams in large statistical samples. Evolutionary groups generally concentrate diversity during their early histories, producing a preponderance of bottom-heavy clades among those that arise early in the history of a larger group. This pattern holds across taxonomic levels and across differences in anatomy and ecology (marine invertebrates, terrestrial mammals). The quantitative study of directionality in life's history (replacing vague, untestable, and culturally laden notions of "progress") should receive more attention from paleobiologists.


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