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Science 7 November 1986:
Vol. 234. no. 4777, pp. 726 - 728
DOI: 10.1126/science.234.4777.726

Articles

Regular Intervals Between Hawaiian Earthquakes: Implications for Predicting the Next Event

MAX WYSS 1

1 University of Colorado, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO 80309.

During the years 1941 through 1983 five earthquake mainshocks of moderate magnitude occurred at regular intervals of 10.5 ± 1.5 years within a 6-kilometer radius in Hawaii. It is proposed that these Kaoiki earthquakes will continue to occur at regular intervals because the strain accumulation rate and the strained volume remain constant. With appropriate instrumentation, it may be possible to refine predictions of subsequent Kaoiki earthquakes.

Submitted on April 11, 1986
Accepted on September 4, 1986


THIS ARTICLE HAS BEEN CITED BY OTHER ARTICLES:
Seismic quiescence before the landers (M = 7.5) and big bear (M = 6.5) 1992 earthquakes.
S. Wiemer and M. Wyss (1994)
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 84, 900-916
   Abstract »    PDF »
Seismic gaps in Hawaii.
M. WYSS and R. Y. KOYANAGI (1992)
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 82, 1373-1387
   Abstract »    PDF »
Coda Q before the 1983 Hawaii (MS = 6.6) earthquake.
Z.-X. HUANG and M. WYSS (1988)
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 78, 1279-1296
   Abstract »    PDF »
Quasi-periodic occurrence of earthquakes in the 1978-1986 Bishop-Mammoth Lakes sequence, eastern California.
J. C. SAVAGE and R. S. COCKERHAM (1987)
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 77, 1347-1358
   Abstract »    PDF »



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Science. ISSN 0036-8075 (print), 1095-9203 (online)