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Science 18 July 1986:
Vol. 233. no. 4761, pp. 324 - 330
DOI: 10.1126/science.233.4761.324
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Articles

Recent Earthquake Prediction Research in Japan

KIYOO MOGI 1

1 Earthquake Research Institute, University of Tokyo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113, Japan.

Japan has experienced many major earthquake disasters in the past. Early in this century research began that was aimed at predicting the occurrence of earthquakes, and in 1965 an earthquake prediction program was started as a national project. In 1978 a program for constant monitoring and assessment was formally inaugurated with the goal of forecasting the major earthquake that is expected to occur in the near future in the Tokai district of central Honshu Island. The issue of predicting the anticipated Tokai earthquake is discussed in this article as well as the results of research on major recent earthquakes in Japan—the Izu earthquakes (1978 and 1980) and the Japan Sea earthquake (1983).

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Science. ISSN 0036-8075 (print), 1095-9203 (online)