Note to users. If you're seeing this message, it means that your browser cannot find this page's style/presentation instructions -- or possibly that you are using a browser that does not support current Web standards. Find out more about why this message is appearing, and what you can do to make your experience of our site the best it can be.

Science 31 August 1979:
Vol. 205. no. 4409, pp. 896 - 898
DOI: 10.1126/science.205.4409.896
Prev | Table of Contents | Next

Articles

Market Penetration Characteristics for Energy Production and Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide Growth

J. A. LAURMANN 1

1 Division of Applied Mechanics, Stanford University, Stanford, California 94305

Estimates are given for the maximum rate at which fossil fuel consumption can be reduced by the introduction of noncarbon-based energy sources, according to the market penetration time concept. These estimates indicate an immediate need to implement a revised energy policy if major climatic changes induced by increased amounts of carbon dioxide are to be avoided in the next century. However, application of market penetration ideas to energy consumption is new and may not be valid for the prediction of future trends.

Submitted on November 27, 1978
Revised on April 17, 1979

To Advertise     Find Products

Science. ISSN 0036-8075 (print), 1095-9203 (online)