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ArticlesCopyright © 1977 by American Association for the Advancement of Science
The elusive rise in the American birthrate
In summary, (i) neither an immediate nor a dramatic increase in fertility will be required during the next few years for young married women to realize their family-size expectations; (ii) annual fertility trends in California do not provide a useful indicator of annual fertility trends at the national level; (iii) recent economic trends appear to merit considerable attention in an assessment of furture fertility prospects. An examination of recent economic conditions suggests that a substantial increase in annual fertility is unlikely to occur immediately. It would be more likely to occur when the current unfavorable economic conditions have been eliminated.
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Science. ISSN 0036-8075 (print), 1095-9203 (online)